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2022-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 24.7% 75.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -
Points Off/Def 70.5% 29.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -29 (108-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 27 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 7 1 0 9 15 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 7-12 4-7 11-15 9 6 0 1 29 33 -
Khris Middleton * 24 6-13 2-7 0-0 3 7 5 1 14 17 -
Grayson Allen * 24 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 7 -
Bobby Portis * 23 11-13 6-8 2-3 4 5 1 2 30 29 -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 4-10 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 3 -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 5 -
Greg Monroe 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 7 -
Lindell Wigginton 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 1 5 8 -
Jordan Nwora 12 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 4 -
Wesley Matthews 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Rodney Hood 8 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
Semi Ojeleye 8 2-2 2-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 7 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 27 7-17 5-13 0-0 1 3 1 0 19 7 -
CJ McCollum * 26 7-18 1-8 2-2 2 6 1 0 17 8 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 5-6 0-0 1-3 10 3 0 2 11 20 -
CJ Elleby * 24 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 1 -
Tony Snell * 22 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 1 9 6 -
Ben McLemore 27 5-13 4-12 5-6 4 2 0 0 19 12 -
Trendon Watford 24 3-3 0-0 1-3 4 2 0 1 7 11 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 20 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 6 2 0 6 13 -
Justise Winslow 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 1 6 10 -
Greg Brown III 16 4-7 1-2 1-3 4 0 1 1 10 9 -
Keljin Blevins 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter