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2022-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% -
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% -
Margin 80.0% 20.0% -7.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.9% 23.1% -
Points Off/Def 65.3% 34.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -15 (80-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 30 6-12 1-5 1-2 4 9 1 1 14 - -
Devin Booker * 29 5-14 1-6 0-0 7 5 0 0 11 - -
Mikal Bridges * 25 5-10 2-4 0-0 3 4 1 1 12 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 3-10 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 7 - -
Deandre Ayton * 23 8-14 0-0 4-5 16 2 2 0 20 - -
Jalen Smith 22 3-7 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Elfrid Payton 20 1-6 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Johnson 18 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
JaVale McGee 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 3 6 - -
Ish Wainright 12 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 9 0-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 - -
Justin Jackson 8 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 3-9 1-4 1-1 1 0 2 0 8 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 23 3-12 1-5 2-3 6 1 0 2 9 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday * 22 5-10 0-2 1-2 1 3 1 0 11 - -
Thomas Bryant * 17 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 5-12 0-0 5-5 7 2 0 1 15 - -
Raul Neto 22 3-8 1-2 2-4 3 2 3 0 9 - -
Deni Avdija 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Corey Kispert 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 7 1-4 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Davis Bertans 7 0-1 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Anthony Gill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter