Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -18 (86-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 10-13 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 27 | 7-21 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 29 | 3-15 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter