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2022-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 78.4% 21.6% -7.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (93-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Bazley * 35 1-6 1-2 1-2 12 3 1 1 4 - -
Josh Giddey * 35 7-15 2-6 0-0 7 3 1 0 16 - -
Luguentz Dort * 33 7-15 4-8 5-8 7 2 0 1 23 - -
Tre Mann * 32 4-17 1-9 0-0 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Mamadi Diakite * 30 4-8 0-2 4-4 7 2 0 3 12 - -
Ty Jerome 22 3-8 3-7 2-2 3 8 0 0 11 - -
Kenrich Williams 22 4-8 2-4 0-1 6 4 2 0 10 - -
Theo Maledon 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Mike Muscala 12 3-8 2-3 3-4 5 0 0 1 11 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 9-24 1-9 0-0 6 4 0 0 19 - -
Anfernee Simons * 37 7-15 1-6 4-5 5 4 2 0 19 - -
Tony Snell * 35 5-10 3-8 0-0 8 3 0 2 13 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 32 6-19 0-0 2-3 16 2 2 0 14 - -
CJ Elleby * 26 3-8 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 1 7 - -
Trendon Watford 19 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Ben McLemore 17 0-7 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Greg Brown III 16 3-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 1 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -

* = starter