Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (105-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 34 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 33 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter