Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +25 (131-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 20 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 29 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 28 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 19 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter