Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 36 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danny Green | 25 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 13-28 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 39 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 34 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter