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2022-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +11 (125-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 36 7-18 2-4 7-8 4 2 1 0 23 - -
Trae Young * 35 9-20 0-4 4-4 6 13 0 0 22 - -
John Collins * 33 10-19 2-6 1-2 6 1 1 1 23 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Clint Capela * 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 8 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 34 6-13 4-9 2-2 4 5 4 1 18 - -
Delon Wright 21 3-4 0-1 2-2 2 2 4 0 8 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Lou Williams 12 0-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 39 11-16 3-3 8-9 9 4 0 0 33 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 6-11 1-2 3-4 9 4 2 0 16 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 10-18 5-10 1-1 4 11 0 0 26 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 35 8-17 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 19 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 3-8 2-4 0-0 10 4 2 2 8 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 10 - -
Chris Boucher 18 4-4 1-1 2-2 8 1 1 1 11 - -
Dalano Banton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Khem Birch 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter