Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (93-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 28 | 9-21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 22 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 28 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter