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2022-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -
Points Off/Def 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 39 8-11 1-3 8-9 5 3 1 0 25 23 -
Davion Mitchell * 37 11-17 3-5 1-3 0 8 1 0 26 18 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 3-11 2-6 2-2 6 6 2 0 10 13 -
Maurice Harkless * 31 7-12 2-6 2-2 3 2 6 1 18 18 -
Richaun Holmes * 24 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 1 4 9 -
Buddy Hield 26 2-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 1 -
Damian Jones 23 6-8 1-1 4-5 4 5 1 2 17 21 -
Chimezie Metu 20 4-9 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 8 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 31 7-11 4-7 2-2 1 7 2 0 20 19 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 5-12 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 12 5 -
Moses Moody * 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 3 -
Klay Thompson * 23 8-11 7-9 0-0 5 7 0 0 23 24 -
Kevon Looney * 20 3-3 0-0 4-6 7 1 1 1 10 17 -
Damion Lee 27 6-11 2-6 0-0 4 0 2 0 14 9 -
Jordan Poole 25 4-8 0-4 4-4 5 3 2 1 12 15 -
Jonathan Kuminga 25 8-10 0-2 2-4 7 1 1 0 18 17 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 19 3-5 2-2 0-0 4 3 3 0 8 13 -
Gary Payton II 11 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter