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2022-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 9-17 2-7 4-4 8 4 2 0 24 - -
Devin Booker * 38 13-27 1-8 5-7 0 3 1 0 32 - -
Chris Paul * 38 7-14 1-5 3-4 4 12 3 0 18 - -
Jae Crowder * 33 4-9 2-6 0-0 6 0 1 1 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 0 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 29 5-9 3-5 0-0 8 0 2 0 13 - -
JaVale McGee 16 5-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 12 - -
Elfrid Payton 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 7 1 0 0 - -
Ish Wainright 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 37 7-15 5-10 0-0 3 3 1 0 19 - -
Trae Young * 35 16-25 6-11 5-7 0 5 1 0 43 - -
John Collins * 31 8-13 3-5 0-0 10 1 0 0 19 - -
Clint Capela * 24 2-4 0-0 2-2 12 4 0 1 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 21 4-7 1-1 4-7 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 35 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 6 1 0 11 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 3-9 2-6 4-4 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Delon Wright 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 - -

* = starter