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2022-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% -
Margin 63.6% 36.4% -3.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% -
Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% -
Log Adjusted 76.3% 23.7% -
Points Off/Def 65.1% 34.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (117-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 6-15 0-4 9-10 14 4 0 2 21 - -
Anthony Edwards * 34 9-21 2-9 5-5 3 1 1 0 25 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 32 4-8 1-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Patrick Beverley * 28 4-8 2-3 1-2 6 7 2 0 11 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 23 5-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 1 13 - -
Taurean Prince 24 8-13 5-6 2-2 6 1 1 0 23 - -
Malik Beasley 19 6-9 4-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 18 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 8 2 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 - -
Naz Reid 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 8-21 3-11 2-4 13 8 1 0 21 - -
Jerami Grant * 31 7-16 3-8 3-5 5 1 0 2 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 5-9 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 0 10 - -
Cory Joseph * 30 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 6 0 1 7 - -
Rodney McGruder * 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson 27 8-14 5-11 4-5 3 3 0 0 25 - -
Killian Hayes 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 2 2 - -
Trey Lyles 18 4-6 1-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 13 - -
Hamidou Diallo 15 1-3 0-1 7-8 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Kelly Olynyk 14 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 - -

* = starter