Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 29 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 29 | 10-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Forrest * | 38 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 28 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 29 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 3-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Elijah Hughes | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter