Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Mann * | 41 | 8-14 | 6-8 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 39 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 35 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 15 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 42 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 42 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 42 | 10-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 16-33 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 38 | 8-16 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter