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2022-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - ✗
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 ✗ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.2% 35.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks -12 (108-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 36 9-27 0-6 5-8 4 9 3 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 8-14 4-7 6-7 10 1 1 2 26 - -
Ziaire Williams * 33 9-11 3-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 21 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 4-18 4-11 1-1 7 2 2 2 13 - -
Steven Adams * 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 13 4 0 0 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 14 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 3-7 0-0 4-6 7 0 1 0 10 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 2-7 0-1 0-1 1 5 1 1 4 - -
Tyus Jones 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 - -
John Konchar 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 38 7-17 1-4 8-11 4 1 0 1 23 - -
Julius Randle * 36 7-18 1-6 3-5 12 9 1 0 18 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 11-18 8-12 0-0 5 2 1 0 30 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 29 7-8 0-0 0-1 11 1 0 8 14 - -
Kemba Walker * 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Immanuel Quickley 26 3-11 2-7 3-3 2 5 0 0 11 - -
Nerlens Noel 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Quentin Grimes 15 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 - -
Alec Burks 13 0-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 0 1 4 - -
Obi Toppin 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Taj Gibson 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter