Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (120-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Lee * | 37 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 36 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 33 | 9-24 | 4-13 | 9-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 28 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 27 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 30 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter