Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (130-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 16 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 27 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 18 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 26 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 24 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 24 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter