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2022-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (112-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 9-19 3-8 4-6 11 2 1 3 25 23 -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 31 2-9 2-7 1-2 7 9 0 0 7 14 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 4-11 1-4 3-3 1 2 1 1 12 6 -
Aaron Holiday * 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 3 -
Thomas Bryant * 15 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
Montrezl Harrell 26 9-15 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 0 20 10 -
Deni Avdija 21 2-4 1-2 1-1 6 1 0 0 6 9 -
Corey Kispert 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 4 -
Rui Hachimura 20 3-5 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 8 9 -
Raul Neto 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 2 -
Daniel Gafford 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 14-21 0-3 5-5 15 11 0 2 33 40 -
Jrue Holiday * 36 9-16 4-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 22 15 -
Khris Middleton * 35 4-12 2-7 3-4 5 3 1 0 13 10 -
Bobby Portis * 34 8-14 1-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 17 12 -
Grayson Allen * 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 6 6 1 0 10 14 -
Pat Connaughton 24 2-7 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 2 -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 7 -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter