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2022-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.4% 74.6% - ✓
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +17 (98-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 10-17 1-6 0-0 3 7 0 0 21 - -
Norman Powell * 37 6-15 3-8 2-3 5 2 0 1 17 - -
Robert Covington * 34 0-5 0-5 2-2 4 3 3 3 2 - -
Anfernee Simons * 34 3-16 2-12 0-0 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 7-12 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 14 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 6 - -
Tony Snell 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 - -
Ben McLemore 12 1-4 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Greg Brown III 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Trendon Watford 8 2-3 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Keljin Blevins 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 34 6-16 2-8 4-4 6 3 3 0 18 - -
Josh Giddey * 32 5-12 0-2 4-4 12 4 0 1 14 - -
Aaron Wiggins * 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 7 - -
Tre Mann * 24 4-10 2-6 3-3 2 1 2 0 13 - -
Derrick Favors * 21 2-6 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 1 6 - -
Darius Bazley 26 5-7 3-4 2-2 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Kenrich Williams 24 4-9 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Ty Jerome 20 3-10 3-8 0-0 0 6 0 0 9 - -
Mike Muscala 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Mamadi Diakite 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Theo Maledon 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter