Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -14 (108-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 13-23 | 7-14 | 7-8 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 33 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 20 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 33 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 22 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter