Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +30 (122-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 40 | 9-19 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 29 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 31 | 11-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 23 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 22 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter