Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (36.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -36 (100-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 27 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 20 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 17 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 10-15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter