🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% -
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% -
Points Off/Def 69.4% 30.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 38 3-9 3-6 1-2 5 2 0 1 10 - -
Luka Doncic * 37 13-22 4-9 4-6 12 11 1 0 34 - -
Jalen Brunson * 35 6-11 2-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Maxi Kleber * 27 2-8 2-7 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Dwight Powell * 21 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Reggie Bullock 31 3-10 3-8 1-1 6 1 3 0 10 - -
Josh Green 21 4-6 2-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Marquese Chriss 18 6-12 0-2 2-2 4 1 4 2 14 - -
Frank Ntilikina 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Trey Burke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 5-10 2-3 2-4 14 1 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Suggs * 32 2-10 1-5 0-0 1 5 2 1 5 - -
Franz Wagner * 31 9-15 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 18 - -
Cole Anthony * 31 6-16 0-6 4-5 4 6 0 0 16 - -
Mo Bamba * 24 4-6 2-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 10 - -
Gary Harris 27 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Chuma Okeke 24 7-10 3-6 2-2 5 4 3 0 19 - -
Terrence Ross 20 1-5 1-3 1-1 2 4 0 0 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 14 5-7 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 0 14 - -

* = starter