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2022-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 37 7-12 0-1 4-9 9 2 0 3 18 - -
Jarrett Allen * 35 4-11 0-1 7-8 9 3 0 2 15 - -
Darius Garland * 35 9-18 5-10 1-1 4 7 0 0 24 - -
Isaac Okoro * 33 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 9 - -
Dean Wade * 26 5-6 4-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 14 - -
Cedi Osman 22 4-7 2-4 3-5 1 1 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Love 18 4-10 0-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 5 2 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Dylan Windler 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 37 6-21 2-4 5-5 10 10 3 1 19 - -
Saddiq Bey * 36 11-20 3-9 6-6 1 3 1 1 31 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 31 7-12 0-0 0-1 12 1 0 0 14 - -
Cory Joseph * 26 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 19 3-9 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson 25 7-10 3-6 2-3 3 1 0 0 19 - -
Killian Hayes 23 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 6 0 0 4 - -
Rodney McGruder 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 5 - -
Trey Lyles 19 4-7 1-1 6-8 7 2 1 2 15 - -

* = starter