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2022-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +20 (115-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 2-11 0-1 5-7 2 12 1 1 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 35 11-17 4-8 4-6 8 3 3 1 30 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 6-12 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 3-10 1-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant * 20 2-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 4 - -
Deni Avdija 26 3-8 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 24 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 19 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 15-27 4-8 0-0 3 2 1 0 34 - -
John Konchar * 33 2-5 1-3 2-4 10 5 1 0 7 - -
Desmond Bane * 29 8-17 2-7 1-1 1 4 0 1 19 - -
Steven Adams * 28 4-7 0-0 2-2 15 4 1 3 10 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 3-10 1-2 3-3 7 2 2 2 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 26 5-18 3-8 0-0 7 1 2 1 13 - -
Kyle Anderson 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 10 - -
Killian Tillie 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Yves Pons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Santi Aldama 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarrett Culver 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter