Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (120-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 56 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 56 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 30 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 55 | 9-21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 55 | 13-28 | 5-15 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 16 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 53 | 7-22 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 52 | 14-26 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 40 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 45 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 45 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 41 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 44 | 5-22 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | - | |
| Max Strus | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
* = starter