Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +27 (132-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 28 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 25 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 12-21 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 24 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter