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2022-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 71.5% 28.5% -
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.1% 29.9% -
Points Off/Def 59.9% 40.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -10 (97-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 17-26 4-13 0-0 8 7 3 0 38 - -
Robert Williams III * 35 4-6 0-1 0-0 16 4 1 4 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 11-20 4-9 5-7 2 3 1 0 31 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 2-6 0-3 1-2 3 12 1 0 5 - -
Al Horford * 24 3-6 2-2 0-0 6 3 0 1 8 - -
Josh Richardson 25 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 10 - -
Grant Williams 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 15 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 35 4-11 1-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Garrett Temple * 34 5-11 0-4 2-5 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Josh Hart * 34 4-9 1-4 1-3 13 2 3 0 10 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 30 5-10 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Devonte' Graham * 28 3-11 2-9 4-4 1 3 0 0 12 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 2-9 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 19 8-11 3-4 0-0 4 2 4 0 19 - -
Jaxson Hayes 17 1-2 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Naji Marshall 10 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Gary Clark 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter