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2022-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - ✗
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 ✗ (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - ✗
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - ✗

Actual: Houston Rockets -15 (110-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 39 6-10 1-3 3-4 5 2 3 0 16 - -
Robert Covington * 38 4-9 3-7 2-2 5 1 2 3 13 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 10-20 4-9 2-3 3 5 0 0 26 - -
Anfernee Simons * 35 11-17 5-9 0-0 3 6 1 0 27 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 32 8-11 0-0 9-11 13 0 1 1 25 - -
Ben McLemore 20 4-9 4-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 12 - -
Trendon Watford 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Tony Snell 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 36 9-17 1-6 2-3 15 3 0 2 21 - -
Garrison Mathews * 36 5-9 4-8 7-8 1 3 2 0 21 - -
Eric Gordon * 33 2-6 0-3 3-3 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Green * 33 4-11 2-8 7-9 5 5 1 0 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 26 4-9 2-6 2-3 4 5 1 0 12 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 8-11 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 17 - -
Josh Christopher 19 5-9 1-4 0-1 2 3 0 0 11 - -
D.J. Augustin 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Alperen Sengun 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Armoni Brooks 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter