Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Coffey * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 31 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe | 27 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 26 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jay Scrubb | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 16-16 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 8-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter