Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (108-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 9-22 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 17 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 31 | 8-25 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 25 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter