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2022-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 5-14 2-6 5-7 5 2 1 1 17 - -
Cade Cunningham * 30 3-17 0-5 2-2 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 6 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 21 2-8 2-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 - -
Cory Joseph * 20 4-6 2-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Killian Hayes 24 3-8 0-3 5-6 6 6 1 2 11 - -
Trey Lyles 22 5-11 2-4 6-7 1 0 2 2 18 - -
Frank Jackson 21 4-6 1-3 3-5 0 0 0 0 12 - -
Rodney McGruder 20 2-6 1-3 5-6 3 4 1 0 10 - -
Josh Jackson 15 0-2 0-0 3-4 6 2 3 2 3 - -
Saben Lee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Cassius Stanley 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 36 4-15 0-5 4-5 6 9 1 0 12 - -
Mo Bamba * 29 8-10 1-2 1-1 11 0 0 2 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 28 2-10 0-1 5-5 11 3 1 0 9 - -
Jalen Suggs * 27 3-9 0-1 0-0 1 4 2 1 6 - -
Franz Wagner * 26 7-12 2-3 8-8 3 0 0 0 24 - -
Chuma Okeke 25 6-7 3-4 2-2 6 2 0 3 17 - -
Gary Harris 24 4-8 2-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 24 7-11 4-6 3-3 3 2 0 1 21 - -
Moritz Wagner 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter