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2022-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 12-23 3-7 8-10 4 5 0 0 35 - -
Stanley Johnson * 27 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Avery Bradley * 20 2-10 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 5 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 19 1-2 0-0 2-8 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Wayne Ellington * 17 3-8 3-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Carmelo Anthony 34 5-12 2-9 7-7 5 5 2 2 19 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 27 2-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Austin Reaves 27 6-12 2-6 2-3 8 3 0 0 16 - -
Trevor Ariza 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 13 4-7 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 41 9-15 1-5 7-8 8 6 2 1 26 - -
Mason Plumlee * 38 3-4 0-0 2-2 17 6 1 0 8 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 7-16 4-10 2-3 6 3 0 0 20 - -
LaMelo Ball * 34 7-18 2-8 4-6 7 2 1 1 20 - -
Cody Martin * 29 3-7 0-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 7 - -
P.J. Washington 26 3-8 2-7 4-7 3 1 0 1 12 - -
Ish Smith 25 10-12 2-3 0-0 2 5 0 1 22 - -
James Bouknight 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter