Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -20 (112-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 34 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 24 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 7-12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter