Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -11 (105-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rivers * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 11 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 33 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter