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2022-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 60.2% 39.8% -2.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 15-28 3-5 8-10 5 8 2 0 41 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 7-16 1-3 5-5 3 3 1 0 20 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 9-14 1-3 3-7 9 0 0 6 22 - -
Steven Adams * 28 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 1 4 - -
Ziaire Williams * 25 4-9 1-5 2-2 3 2 1 0 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 3-8 0-1 1-2 4 1 3 0 7 - -
John Konchar 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 1 8 - -
Killian Tillie 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 5-17 0-3 6-7 10 11 2 0 16 - -
Keldon Johnson * 36 7-16 4-9 0-0 3 3 2 1 18 - -
Derrick White * 33 5-10 2-6 2-2 3 5 1 1 14 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 32 8-8 0-0 2-4 7 5 2 4 18 - -
Doug McDermott * 22 3-9 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Devin Vassell 29 8-16 1-7 3-4 4 0 0 0 20 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 19 4-8 2-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 12 - -
Jock Landale 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Tre Jones 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter