Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (110-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Robinson * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 19 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 31 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 22 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 21 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 15 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 10 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Miles McBride | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 9-13 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter