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2022-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (36.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% -
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -32 (126-158). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 38 11-16 3-4 4-5 10 13 1 1 29 - -
Miles Bridges * 28 8-10 3-5 3-3 4 1 0 0 22 - -
Terry Rozier * 27 6-12 4-8 4-4 2 3 2 0 20 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 3-4 0-0 1-4 4 6 1 1 7 - -
Cody Martin * 26 4-8 2-5 1-2 3 3 1 2 11 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 35 12-18 10-15 5-6 5 3 2 0 39 - -
James Bouknight 22 4-14 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 13 - -
P.J. Washington 17 3-5 0-2 3-3 1 4 2 0 9 - -
Ish Smith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Nick Richards 4 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
JT Thor 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Torrey Craig * 26 6-10 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Justin Holiday * 23 3-7 3-7 1-1 0 3 1 0 10 - -
Chris Duarte * 22 3-8 1-3 4-4 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Caris LeVert * 19 3-7 0-2 4-6 4 5 0 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze * 18 8-12 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 0 17 - -
Lance Stephenson 28 5-10 0-2 4-6 6 10 0 0 14 - -
Isaiah Jackson 24 5-9 1-1 6-6 4 2 1 1 17 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 23 5-14 1-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Oshae Brissett 16 1-3 0-1 3-3 6 1 2 0 5 - -
Jeremy Lamb 14 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 2 1 6 - -
Keifer Sykes 11 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Terry Taylor 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter