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2022-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +16 (115-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 8-15 3-7 2-2 4 4 1 0 21 - -
Bobby Portis * 32 10-15 1-4 1-2 7 1 0 1 22 - -
Pat Connaughton * 32 4-7 3-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 2-9 0-2 0-0 6 7 0 1 4 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 7-13 1-3 11-12 9 3 1 0 26 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 4-11 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 9 - -
George Hill 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 15 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Rodney Hood 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 33 5-12 1-3 5-7 7 1 0 2 16 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 4-9 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 0 10 - -
Isaac Okoro * 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 1 3 - -
Darius Garland * 25 7-12 3-5 2-3 2 8 1 0 19 - -
Dean Wade * 13 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Cedi Osman 34 8-17 6-14 1-1 3 4 2 0 23 - -
Kevin Love 26 9-16 5-9 2-2 9 2 2 0 25 - -
Rajon Rondo 20 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 19 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 3 0 4 - -
Ed Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Pangos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter