Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (33.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +38 (130-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 26 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 25 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 7 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 7-16 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 19 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 26 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 17 | 8-9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter