Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (32.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -30 (104-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 28 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 21 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 15 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 12 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 3-16 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 24 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 19 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 28 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 23 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 23 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter