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2022-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (41.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% -
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +53 (128-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 29 1-12 0-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 27 2-9 0-5 3-3 5 7 1 1 7 - -
Richaun Holmes * 23 4-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 20 3-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 6 - -
Terence Davis * 9 2-5 1-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Davion Mitchell 29 3-15 0-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Buddy Hield 24 4-14 3-9 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Damian Jones 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 4 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 14 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Maurice Harkless 12 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 3 - -
Robert Woodard II 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Louis King 12 2-5 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Neemias Queta 8 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 2 6 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 31 14-23 7-14 1-2 4 6 0 1 36 - -
Robert Williams III * 27 6-8 0-0 1-1 17 4 3 2 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 23 11-19 5-12 3-3 10 3 0 0 30 - -
Marcus Smart * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 - -
Al Horford * 22 1-9 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 1 3 - -
Grant Williams 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 8 - -
Josh Richardson 22 6-9 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 1 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith 19 4-8 1-4 1-1 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Schroder 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Enes Freedom 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 9 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 9 - -

* = starter