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2022-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (125-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Martin * 36 2-8 0-2 0-4 8 2 1 0 4 - -
Mason Plumlee * 32 6-9 0-0 0-2 9 3 1 0 12 - -
LaMelo Ball * 32 8-16 1-5 8-9 3 7 1 0 25 - -
Miles Bridges * 30 6-10 2-4 8-8 4 3 0 0 22 - -
Terry Rozier * 29 5-11 1-5 1-2 3 6 2 1 12 - -
James Bouknight 28 6-11 1-4 5-5 2 1 1 0 18 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 26 3-11 2-8 1-2 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Ish Smith 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Kai Jones 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
P.J. Washington 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Nick Richards 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 39 9-16 1-2 5-5 9 12 0 1 24 - -
OG Anunoby * 35 8-14 3-7 5-6 7 2 2 1 24 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 11-21 5-10 5-5 2 2 1 0 32 - -
Chris Boucher * 30 3-6 2-3 4-4 7 1 2 2 12 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 24 3-6 1-1 2-5 7 3 0 0 9 - -
Malachi Flynn 25 4-7 1-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 11 - -
Yuta Watanabe 22 1-2 1-2 0-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalano Banton 17 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 3 10 - -
Justin Champagnie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Bonga 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter