Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -5 (105-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 28 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 26 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 14-26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 34 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 26 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 13 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter