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2022-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (130-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 10-20 0-1 2-2 7 8 2 0 22 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 35 7-10 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 1 15 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 10-17 1-4 0-0 11 5 0 0 21 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 8-14 4-7 2-2 3 7 0 1 22 - -
Javonte Green * 20 3-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Coby White 26 6-8 3-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 15 - -
Tristan Thompson 21 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 14 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 12 2-5 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 11-18 7-9 10-10 3 13 1 0 39 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 7-13 2-4 2-4 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Clint Capela * 33 5-5 0-0 2-2 11 3 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 7-13 2-6 1-2 2 2 1 1 17 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 29 4-10 1-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 30 5-13 4-10 6-6 4 2 0 2 20 - -
Delon Wright 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Lou Williams 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter