Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 26 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 21 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-19 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 11 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter