Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +13 (104-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 41 | 14-31 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 34 | 4-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 23 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 30 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 13-25 | 2-7 | 9-12 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter