Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -22 (91-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 9-20 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 21 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 11 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 29 | 2-14 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 22 | 5-13 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter