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2022-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -
Points Off/Def 21.2% 78.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nassir Little * 38 8-11 2-3 1-2 7 3 1 1 19 - -
Anfernee Simons * 37 6-18 5-9 2-2 3 5 1 0 19 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 8-12 3-5 0-0 10 6 2 0 19 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 5-9 0-1 1-5 11 2 1 2 11 - -
Robert Covington * 30 3-10 2-6 1-2 5 5 2 2 9 - -
Ben McLemore 18 6-9 5-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 17 - -
CJ Elleby 17 4-7 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 9 - -
Trendon Watford 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 6 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 6 0 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 41 4-15 1-7 2-3 8 5 3 2 11 - -
Fred VanVleet * 41 6-19 4-15 3-3 5 8 5 1 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 13-20 0-1 2-4 8 5 1 1 28 - -
Scottie Barnes * 33 3-14 3-11 0-0 6 6 1 2 9 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 4-15 4-11 1-2 0 1 1 0 13 - -
Chris Boucher 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 9 0 0 3 11 - -
Precious Achiuwa 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Dalano Banton 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 5 - -
Justin Champagnie 8 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 6 - -
Yuta Watanabe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter