Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 12-22 | 1-8 | 8-11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 28 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Wayne Ellington | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 41 | 8-13 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Max Strus | 29 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 23 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter